PsyPost
psypost.org › home › exclusive › social psychology › political psychology
Left-leaning Americans are driving the U.S. birth decline, new study finds
4 days ago - A new study reveals that left-leaning Americans are having significantly fewer children, driving the overall US fertility decline. Meanwhile, conservatives are maintaining steady birth rates, a demographic trend that could gradually shift the nation’s political landscape rightward.
Ucsd
econweb.ucsd.edu › ~gdahl › papers › partisan-fertility.pdf pdf
Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections Gordon B. Dahl Runjing Lu
When we compare Republican to Democratic-leaning counties in Figure 3 we find some · evidence that relative Democratic fertility falls, with an average quarterly effect of 0.087 · births per 1,000 women (0.6% of the 1999 average birth rate).
Research reveals widening gap in fertility desires between Republicans and Democrats
The magazine Utne Reader published an article on this about 20 years ago. Republicans have larger families and outbreed Democrats. I am a lefty, and showed it to my husband because I wanted us to have a third child. He remained unmoved. Luckily, once children from Republican families grow up, move away and get educated, many of them become Democrats. Which is one reason Republicans hate education. The more educated you are, the more likely you are to vote Democratic. https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2016/04/26/a-wider-ideological-gap-between-more-and-less-educated-adults/ More on reddit.com
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October 7, 2024Why do conservatives simultaneously complain about the birthrate while opposing all policies that could raise it?
Please use Good Faith when commenting. If discussing gender issues a higher level of discourse will be expected and maintained. Guidance I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns. More on reddit.com
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September 19, 2023American Enterprise Institute
aei.org › home › the conservative fertility advantage
The Conservative Fertility Advantage | AEI
May 25, 2022 - The use of state controls (and some robustness tests I ran in large states with many counties) suggests this effect isn’t driven by unique features of states: within Red states or Blue states, and controlling for county racial and ethnic characteristics and population densities, Republican counties have higher birth rates. This is particularly astonishing given that Democrats perform very well in counties with many Hispanic and black voters, who have higher birth rates than non-Hispanic white Americans (and indeed, the more non-Hispanic whites in a county, the lower its birth rate in my models).
Fox News
foxnews.com › opinion › fathers-rights-gop-letting-democrats-steal-popular-issue
Democrats seize shared parenting issue as Republicans back away from it | Fox News
The unexplainable part is the Republicans giving Democrats the opening. Shared parenting gives fathers fair treatment, which seems a natural Republican issue. The GOP also has traditionally supported parents’ rights issues such as school choice. Is it because the most vocal shared parenting opponents are attorneys’ associations and the GOP is giving in to a special interest group? ... Shared parenting is good for everyone, no matter their party. Since its landmark law, Kentucky has seen total divorce filings decline and family court domestic violence cases in particular plummet. Its 11 exceptions to the shared parenting presumption have helped child maltreatment decline since the bill passed. So which way will the parties go? Charlie Kirk's last group of social media posts recommended both parties champion shared parenting. If polling and voting patterns keep growing for shared parenting, the parties won’t have any other choice.
Published 2 weeks ago
AEI
cosm.aei.org › home › all research › the geography of fertility — where are the babies?
The Geography of Fertility — Where are the Babies?
June 20, 2025 - The birth gap between the states that voted Republican and Democratic in the past presidential election has fallen from about 475,000 births in 2015 to approximately 294,000 births in 2023.
NBC News
nbcnews.com › politics › supreme-court › birthright-citizenship-four-conservatives-supreme-court-rcna352427
How a once-mocked argument against birthright citizenship got four votes at the Supreme Court
3 days ago - Supreme Court Justices Brett Kavanaugh and Clarence Thomas both found Trump's birthright citizenship order didn't violate the Constitution, though Kavanaugh would have ruled against it on other grounds.Getty Images file ... WASHINGTON — During his first term, President Donald Trump had a bold suggestion: He could, by executive order, limit the long-understood right to citizenship at birth. ... Get exclusive reporting, live Q&As and ad-free reading. Just a moment.
Institute for Family Studies
ifstudies.org › blog › the-growing-link-between-marriage-fertility-and-partisanship
The Growing Link Between Marriage, Fertility, and Partisanship | Institute for Family Studies
September 18, 2025 - The top 20% of counties that voted for Harris had a TFR of 1.37. State-level data reveals a similar relationship between partisanship and fertility. Democratic states have much lower fertility rates than Republican states.
Institute for Family Studies
ifstudies.org › blog › where-are-the-babies-in-red-states-fertility-rates-are-higher
Where Are the Babies? In Red States, Fertility Rates Are Higher | Institute for Family Studies
October 30, 2024 - The birth gap between the states that voted Republican and Democratic in the past presidential election has fallen from about 475,000 births in 2015 to approximately 294,000 births in 2023.
Media Matters for America
mediamatters.org › supreme-court › right-wing-media-target-pregnant-and-female-travelers-following-scotus-birthright
Right-wing media target pregnant and female travelers following SCOTUS birthright citizenship ruling | Media Matters for America
Pundits suggested refusing pregnant travelers visas, deporting “birthing-aged” women, and even sterilizing travelers entering the United States ... After the Supreme Court upheld birthright citizenship, right-wing media proposed draconian policies to prevent travelers potentially giving birth in the United States. The policies demanded by right-wing media — which almost exclusively target female migrants — were often proposed under the guise of combating birth tourism, which the U.S. already has enforcement tools in place to prevent. On June 30, the Supreme Court rejected President Donald Trump’s attempt to end birthright citizenship. On the first day of Trump’s second term, the president signed an executive order seeking to deny birthright citizenship to the children of undocumented immigrants and the children of those in the country legally on temporary work, student, or tourism visas.
Institute for Family Studies
ifstudies.org › blog › the-trump-bump-the-republican-fertility-advantage-in-2024
The Trump Bump: The Republican Fertility Advantage in 2024 | Institute for Family Studies
December 19, 2024 - Finally, Patrick T. Brown noted in an earlier IFS blog post that Republican counties do not significantly differ from Democratic counties in the proportion of babies born to married parents, contrary to years past. So, while Republican counties have higher fertility rates, these babies are not necessarily being born into more stable families. Nonetheless, the growing fertility divide has important political implications. Republicans live in areas where families are larger, and where more voters would directly benefit from policies like the Child Tax Credit.
Institute for Family Studies
ifstudies.org › blog › the-conservative-fertility-advantage
The Conservative Fertility Advantage | Institute for Family Studies
November 18, 2020 - The use of state controls (and some robustness tests I ran in large states with many counties) suggests this effect isn’t driven by unique features of states: within Red states or Blue states, and controlling for county racial and ethnic characteristics and population densities, Republican counties have higher birth rates. This is particularly astonishing given that Democrats perform very well in counties with many Hispanic and black voters, who have higher birth rates than non-Hispanic white Americans (and indeed, the more non-Hispanic whites in a county, the lower its birth rate in my models).
UCSD
today.ucsd.edu › story › the-trump-baby-bump-among-republicans-after-the-2016-election
The Trump Baby Bump Among Republicans After the 2016 Election
April 27, 2022 - The paper’s authors find that this difference between Republican versus Democratic babies conceived in the first two years of the Trump presidency amounts to between 1 and 2% of the national birth rate.
Fatherly
fatherly.com › health
US Birth Rate Shows Republicans Have More Children Than Democrats
July 8, 2022 - “The gap is actually 41 percent.” Data on the U.S. birth rate from the General Social Survey confirms this trend — a random sample of 100 conservative adults will raise 208 children, while 100 liberal adults will raise a mere 147 kids.
NBER
nber.org › system › files › working_papers › w29058 › w29058.pdf pdf
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES PARTISAN FERTILITY AND PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS
Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2 to 2.2% of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical ... Republicans’ surged from 12 to 46% (Gallup, 2017).
Washington Stand
washingtonstand.com › news › conservative-states-have-more-babies-than-liberal-states-study
Conservative States Have More Babies than Liberal States: Study
November 22, 2024 - “Republican states (those that Trump won in 2020) generally have markedly higher fertility rates than Democratic ones (those that Biden won), suggesting that more men and women feel confident about starting and raising families in red states ...
The Washington Stand
washingtonstand.com › article › the-partisan-divide-in-sinking-us-birth-rates
The Partisan Divide in Sinking U.S. Birth Rates
October 27, 2025 - The 20 U.S. counties with the largest margins for Trump had an average total fertility rate of 1.76; the 20 counties with the highest margin for Harris had a TFR of 1.37 in 2024. Yenor and Stone infer, “Democrats increasingly seem to be the ...
Reddit
reddit.com › r/psychology › research reveals widening gap in fertility desires between republicans and democrats
r/psychology on Reddit: Research reveals widening gap in fertility desires between Republicans and Democrats
October 7, 2024 - From the article: A study published in the Journal of Marriage and Family has found that political identity is increasingly influencing the number of children young adults desire to have. Spanning three decades, the research found that young Republicans consistently expressed a stronger desire for larger families compared to their Democratic counterparts, with this gap widening over time.
USAFacts
usafacts.org › home › population › how many voters have a party affiliation?
How many Democrats and Republicans are in each state? | USAFacts
April 29, 2026 - Thirty-two states had registration rates between 70.0% to 79.9%, and 10 states had rates below 69.9%. Arkansas’s rate of 64.7% was the nation’s lowest. Percent of voting-age citizen population registered to vote by state, 2024 ...
RALI
ralionline.com › newsinsights › democrats-and-republicans-have-similar-demographics-and-views-about-parenthood-research-shows
Democrats and Republicans have similar demographics and views about parenthood, research shows - RALI
October 16, 2024 - There is no evidence that Democratic ... of the Democratic Party and Harris specifically. It is true that Americans are having fewer children compared with a few decades ago. But this drop in having children is nearly universal in high-income democracies, even despite some government policies that seek to increase the birth rate in the U.S. Our analysis reveals that the gap between Republicans and Democrats ...
Quora
quora.com › Are-Democrats-or-Republicans-more-wanting-to-raise-the-birth-rate-in-the-United-States
Are Democrats or Republicans more wanting to raise the birth rate in the United States? - Quora
Answer (1 of 7): Republicans say that they would like the birth rate to be higher, but they’re not trying to do anything that would ensure a good quality of life if Americans bring more kids into the world. Democratic leaders haven’t said that they wouldn’t like the birth rate to be higher.