September 18, 2025 - The top 20% of counties that voted for Harris had a TFR of 1.37. State-level data reveals a similar relationship between partisanship and fertility. Democratic states have much lower fertility rates than Republican states.

September 5, 2026 - A growing share of American voters have not identified with either party in recent years. Back in 2002, roughly a third of voters surveyed by Gallup identified as either Republican, Democrat or independent.

When we compare Republican to Democratic-leaning counties in Figure 3 we find some · evidence that relative Democratic fertility falls, with an average quarterly effect of 0.087 · births per 1,000 women (0.6% of the 1999 average birth rate).

May 25, 2022 - This informs how family policy is approached: Democrats see smaller and fewer families, and so see a cost barrier with which families need help, perhaps because in communities with a lot of Democrats, childbearing is less universal and frequent. On the other hand, Republicans tend to live in places with much higher birth rates and more uniform childbearing, and so tend to think that kids are just a part of life, and people adjust to afford them.

2 weeks ago - A majority of Americans consider themselves either Republicans or Democrats. Most say they identify this way because they view their own party’s policies as good for the country and the other party’s policies as harmful. But many Americans don’t consider themselves Republicans or Democrats. Instead, these Americans identify as independents (or with some other party) and many “lean” toward one of the two major parties. For these Americans, opposition to the other party’s policies is more of a motivating factor than support for the policies of the party they lean toward. ... This Pew Research Center analysis examines the reasons partisans – U.S. adults who identify as Republicans and Democrats – give for their party affiliation. It also looks at “leaners” – people who don’t identify with one of the two major parties but say they lean toward one of the parties – and the reasons they lean toward the party they choose, and the reasons they decline to identify with that party.

June 20, 2025 - The birth gap between the states that voted Republican and Democratic in the past presidential election has fallen from about 475,000 births in 2015 to approximately 294,000 births in 2023.

November 18, 2020 - This informs how family policy is approached: Democrats see smaller and fewer families, and so see a cost barrier with which families need help, perhaps because in communities with a lot of Democrats, childbearing is less universal and frequent. On the other hand, Republicans tend to live in places with much higher birth rates and more uniform childbearing, and so tend to think that kids are just a part of life, and people adjust to afford them.

August 20, 2026 - When some Taylor Swift fans listened to the lyrics of her 2025 song “Wi$h Li$t,” in which she sings about yearning to “settle down” with “a couple kids,” they heard a Republican dog whistle. On social media, they claimed that Swift’s desire for family life was “a conservative agenda on a silver platter.” · Swift, an avowed feminist who has endorsed Democratic political candidates, almost certainly did not set out to make “tradwife propaganda.” But her online critics are getting at something real: Having children—particularly lots of children—has become a bit right-coded, as the kids say. Americans and Europeans who identify as leftist or liberal tend to have fewer children than those who identify as conservative or right-leaning. In the United States, differences in desired fertility seem to start at a young age—one 2024 study found that Republican-identifying 12th graders said they want more children than Democrat-identifying 12th graders.

October 30, 2024 - The birth gap between the states that voted Republican and Democratic in the past presidential election has fallen from about 475,000 births in 2015 to approximately 294,000 births in 2023.

December 15, 2025 - On the other hand, senators with four or more kids constitute only 8% in the Democratic Party and a whopping 26% in the Republican Party.” · It is not just politicians but voters that show this pattern of conservatives having more children.

December 19, 2024 - In the past 12 years, the geographic relationship between voting Republican and having more babies has grown by 85 percent. Not only is the fertility gap between very-Republican and very-Democratic places widening, but it seems like fertility ...

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When we compare Republican to Democratic-leaning counties in Figure 3 we find some · evidence that relative Democratic fertility falls, with an average quarterly effect of 0.087 · births per 1,000 women (0.6% of the 1999 average birth rate).

October 27, 2025 - The 20 U.S. counties with the largest margins for Trump had an average total fertility rate of 1.76; the 20 counties with the highest margin for Harris had a TFR of 1.37 in 2024. Yenor and Stone infer, “Democrats increasingly seem to be the ...

September 8, 2026 - The pattern is nearly identical among Republicans: 38% rate themselves more conservatively than they rate the GOP, and 36% rate themselves as more liberal. ... This Pew Research Center analysis looks at Americans’ views about the ideology ...

July 1, 2026 - The findings indicate that while conservative individuals tend to maintain birth rates near historical averages, This would make sense. The GOP has taken the identity of the "Christian nationalist party" since the Reagan administration, and so the Christians are mostly GOP voters. ... Interestingly, the correlations only held for white people. When analyzing White and Black Americans separately, they found that the widening · fertility gap between the left and the right was primarily driven by White Americans

April 27, 2022 - The paper’s authors find that this difference between Republican versus Democratic babies conceived in the first two years of the Trump presidency amounts to between 1 and 2% of the national birth rate.

November 22, 2024 - “Republican states (those that Trump won in 2020) generally have markedly higher fertility rates than Democratic ones (those that Biden won), suggesting that more men and women feel confident about starting and raising families in red states ...

October 16, 2024 - And the 2022 General Social Survey data shows that Democrats do report having no children at a modestly higher rate than Republicans, but it is men—more than women—who report being childless at higher rates. Among Americans over 40, 22% of Democratic men and 16% of Republican men have no ...