Jean M. Twenge has concluded that non-heterosexual identity is in free fall among U.S. young adults, based on newly available nationally representative data. Her analysis, published on November 5, 2025, and updated in a follow-up post on March 3, 2026, shows a significant decline in self-identification as lesbian, gay, or bisexual (LGB) among young adults, with bisexual women showing the largest drop. This trend appears to be part of a broader shift, as Twenge also found sharp declines in transgender and nonbinary identity among 18- to 22-year-olds and teens as young as 13. She attributes the drop to possible changes in social acceptance, mental health improvements, or a fading of social trends, though she cautions that long-term patterns will only be clear with future data. Her findings are based on the Cooperative Election Study (CES) and the Monitoring the Future survey, though some researchers have questioned the use of statistical weights in the analysis.
Substack
generationtechblog.com › p › non-heterosexual-identity-is-in-free
Non-heterosexual identity is in free-fall among U.S. young adults
1 day ago - Last fall, researcher Eric Kaufmann concluded that “trans identification is in free fall among the young.” His declaration was a little premature – his sources measured identifying as non-binary, not transgender, and were not nationally ...
Substack
generationtechblog.com › p › identifying-as-nonbinary-is-in-free
Identifying as nonbinary is in free fall among teens as young as 13
November 5, 2025 - Professor Eric Kaufmann found that identifying as nonbinary or gender queer was “in free fall among the young” in his analysis of elite college students in the U.S., garnering millions of views on X. I then found a sharp decline in young adults identifying as transgender or nonbinary between 2023 and 2024 ...
TownHall
townhall.com › tipsheet › jeff charles › here's some not-so-shocking data about trans-identified youth
Here's Some Not-So-Shocking Data About Trans-Identified Youth
October 23, 2025 - The report also notes that “The ... and “The share of students identifying as not heterosexual fell by around 10 points in the same period.” · You Cannot Make Up What Jasmine Crockett Said During Texas' Primaries Last Night Matt Vespa · It turns out ... trans identification really is in free fall among the young...
Fox News
foxnews.com › health › number-young-adults-identifying-transgender-plunges-nearly-half-two-years
Sharp decline in young adults identifying as transgender, non-binary, analysis finds | Fox News
Professor Jean Twenge's research confirms Eric Kaufman's findings that transgender identification among 18- to 22-year-olds dropped nearly in half from 2022 to 2024.
Published October 22, 2025
Dr. Jean Twenge
jeantwenge.com › home › research
Research - Dr. Jean Twenge
May 25, 2025 - Twenge, J. M., Wells, B. E., Le, J., & Rider, G. N. (2024). Increases in self-identifying as transgender among U.S. adults, 2014-2022.
Religion Unplugged
religionunplugged.com › news › the-sharp-decline-in-transgender-identification-among-young-adults
The Sharp Decline In Transgender Identification Among Young Adults
December 20, 2025 - Then Jean Twenge ran the same analysis on college-aged respondents in the Cooperative Election Study and came to a very similar conclusion — the share of 18–22-year-olds who identified as transgender has dropped noticeably between 2022 and 2024.
Address United States
SEGM
segm.org › transgender-identification-college-youth
Transgender identification in college youth is at an all-time high but may be reaching a plateau | SEGM
To describe this as a "free fall" in transgender identification among youth is too strong. ... Twenge derives the nonbinary trend from responses to “What is your gender?” with options “man,” “woman,” “nonbinary,” and “other.” ...
PubMed Central
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov › articles › PMC12260785
Stability and Change in Gender Identity and Sexual Orientation Across Childhood and Adolescence - PMC
It is undoubtedly the case that more young people (including those in the study and those not in the study) use the term nonbinary and/or use they/them pronouns than did when we began the study (Twenge, 2024). The Recruited as Siblings group (N = 218) consists of siblings of youths in the Recruited as Transgender group, all of whom were cisgender at the beginning of their participation in the TYP. Inclusion of the Recruited as Transgender group's siblings allows us to infer that differences between participant outcomes among youths in the two groups are likely not due to being raised in different household contexts, local communities, or political environments.