March 3, 2026 - Last fall, researcher Eric Kaufmann concluded that “trans identification is in free fall among the young.” His declaration was a little premature – his sources measured identifying as non-binary, not transgender, and were not nationally ...

March 20, 2026 - But after digging into the best data I could find, I concluded he was probably right: Identifying as transgender and non-binary really did decline among U.S. young adults after 2023, and even among teens as young as 13.

March 5, 2026 - Looking at BRFSS responses from 2014 through 2025, Twenge found that among adults ages 18 to 24, identifying as lesbian, gay or bisexual peaked in 2022 at 20% before dropping to just over 15% by 2025 — a 21% decline in just three years.

October 21, 2025 - It turns out … trans identification really is in free fall among the young. So is nonbinary identity. See below from a nationally representative survey (the CES). @epkaufm was right.

November 4, 2025 - A few days later, Jean Twenge, a professor of psychology at San Diego State University, posted on X that “trans identification really is in free fall among the young,” citing data from the Cooperative Election Study, a long-running survey ...

November 5, 2025 - Professor Eric Kaufmann found that identifying as nonbinary or gender queer was “in free fall among the young” in his analysis of elite college students in the U.S., garnering millions of views on X. I then found a sharp decline in young adults identifying as transgender or nonbinary between 2023 and 2024 ...

October 22, 2025 - Jean M. Twenge ... A firestorm erupted last week when the British professor and commentator Eric Kaufmann made a bold claim: Identifying as transgender is “in free fall among the young.”

October 23, 2025 - The report also notes that “The ... and “The share of students identifying as not heterosexual fell by around 10 points in the same period.” · You Cannot Make Up What Jasmine Crockett Said During Texas' Primaries Last Night Matt Vespa · It turns out ... trans identification really is in free fall among the young...

October 22, 2025 - On Substack, where Twenge shared her CES data analysis, she wrote: 'It turns out identifying as transgender really is in free fall among the young in the US.

November 15, 2025 - Cited in Jean Twenge, ‘Identifying as nonbinary is in free fall among teens as young as 13,’ Generation Tech

March 18, 2026 - In a previous post, I found that identifying as gay, lesbian, or bisexual plummeted among U.S. young adults after 2022, with most of the decline driven by fewer women identifying as bisexual.

March 8, 2026 - Twenty percent of 18- to 24-year-olds chose a non-heterosexual identity in 2022. By 2025, that dropped to 15 percent. By far, the biggest change is in young women calling themselves bisexual.

October 15, 2025 - Much of this centered on the issue ... non-heterosexual identities. But psychologist and Substacker Jean Twenge has since uncovered other data suggesting trans identification is indeed declining as well....

May 25, 2025 - Twenge, J. M., Wells, B. E., Le, J., & Rider, G. N. (2024). Increases in self-identifying as transgender among U.S. adults, 2014-2022.

October 29, 2025 - It then declined significantly (almost by half) in the second half 2024 to nearly 2021 levels of 2%. Twenge observes, “It appears identifying as transgender peaked in early 2024 among younger adults even at the population level.” But she ...

To describe this as a "free fall" in transgender identification among youth is too strong. ... Twenge derives the nonbinary trend from responses to “What is your gender?” with options “man,” “woman,” “nonbinary,” and “other.” ...

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